BERLIN - If
the scramble to hold together Europe’s single currency has highlighted one
thing, it is that national mind-sets can be more stubborn than the 60-year-old
mantra of the Continent’s “ever closer union” once supposed. And no national
psyche is more important to the outcome at this moment than Germany’s.
As eurozone finance ministers gather once
more in Brussels on Saturday, Germany is by no means the only country with
reservations about extending negotiations to keep Greece and its banks afloat.
But as Europe’s de facto leader, Germany has been the most visible and
influential, its penchant for process standing in sharp contrast to the chaotic
sequence of decisions and reversals emanating from Athens.
Many Greeks have taken Germany’s resistance
personally, plastering walls with posters and graffiti denouncing what they see
as the rigidity of Chancellor Angela Merkel and her finance minister, Wolfgang
Schäuble. After stepping aside as the Greek finance minister last week, Yanis
Varoufakis also took a parting shot, writing in The Guardian that the Germans
were out to destroy his country in the name of keeping to the rules.
Those questioning the Germans’ obsession
with rules have only to look at what Berlin calls “the black zero,” meaning a
balanced budget. After the 2008 global financial crisis, German lawmakers
amended their Constitution to ensure that future governments would not take on
excess debt of more than 0.35 percent of gross domestic product.
What many outsiders view as the rigidity of
Ms. Merkel and Mr. Schäuble is widely viewed within the country as the best way
to resolve the Greek debt crisis and ensure the stability of the European
currency used by 19 nations.
“There are clear rules, and anybody who
doesn’t stick to the rules cannot be an example for others,” Julia Klöckner, a
senior member of Ms. Merkel’s Christian Democrats, said in an interview
Thursday.
Ms. Klöckner reflects the German belief that
the economic success of post-World War II West Germany was rooted in obeying
rules and that its projection of power in Europe relies on binding public
commitment to keeping order.
“The Germans naturally have a great fixation
with rules,” said Josef Janning, a senior policy fellow at the European Council
on Foreign Relations. “They often substitute order for politics, because they
often do not trust politics. In the last century the Germans were not
especially spoiled by politics.” The allusion was to the turbulent 20th century
governments in Germany: the Weimar Republic, the Nazis’ Third Reich and the
post-1945 communist East.
Other Europeans, who have very different
memories of World War II and its aftermath, often fail to grasp the extent to
which this history shapes German decisions on Europe. Conversely, the Germans
struggle to understand that their view does not come naturally to their 27
partners in the European Union.
“Maybe this is our mistake, that we project
on to other states and cannot cope with ‘anything goes,’ ” Mr. Janning said.
“Consequently, it is very difficult for Germans to understand why it doesn’t
work in Greece, why we can’t progress.”
Anyone who has ever spent time in Germany is
struck by the reflexive embrace of rules, the immaculate order of its many
small towns and the stereotypical picture of everyone waiting for the green
pedestrian crossing light to traverse even the emptiest of roads.
“The world is better with rules,” said
Hans-Werner Sinn, president of the Ifo Institute economic research group in
Munich and a strong advocate of Greece’s leaving the eurozone. He likened the
binding commitment on financial partnership to the very public vows of a
marriage.
Reflecting how contentious support for
Greece has been over the past six years, among the sharpest critics this time
around have been lawmakers in the chancellor’s conservative bloc who once
served in her cabinet. Peter Ramsauer, a member of the Bavarian Christian
Social Union who was transport minister from 2009 to 2013, said that while in
the government he had expressed his “strongest reservations” internally, but
went along with bailouts passed in 2010 and 2012.
This February, he withheld support for
extending Greece’s bailout, he said, “because I saw it all coming - and now it
actually turned out even worse.”
If Europe’s leaders agree this weekend, by
their self-imposed deadline of midnight Sunday, to start negotiating a third
bailout for Greece, it will require approval from, among others, Germany’s
Parliament. That could prove tough. “Trust in the Greek government has been
completely frittered away,” Mr. Ramsauer said.
Wolfgang Bosbach, a senior member of Ms.
Merkel’s party who has served in Parliament for more than 20 years, has long
believed that Greece is not fit to be in the eurozone, which it joined in 2001
on the basis of what Athens years later admitted were cooked figures.
“Nothing will change in the next few years,”
Mr. Bosbach said. “It can be that in the next days people make statements
promising that a new era is now at hand. I have been hearing that for five
years.” He said no constituents had told him they thought Greece should get
more financial support.
Even the Social Democrats, center-left
partners in Ms. Merkel’s coalition government, are hardening their attitudes,
as seen in the tough statements coming from their leader. Vice Chancellor
Sigmar Gabriel has been unusually blunt in his criticism of Greece, brushing
off party critics who accuse him of being hardhearted.
“The real problem of Greece is that for
years they have been exploited by their political and economic elites,” he told
students in Dresden on Thursday. “The real wrongdoers are those who failed to
build up the country.”
“It’s not a case of bringing Alexis Tsipras
to his knees,” Mr. Gabriel said, referring to the Greek prime minister. “But it
is certainly not that Europe should be brought to its knees.”
This weekend may see the opening of yet
another chapter in Europe’s long debt crisis. But it seems impossible that it
will reconcile very differing German, Greek and other views of the Continent’s
future.
Confronted with attempts to compare the debt
relief afforded post-Nazi West Germany in 1953, Germans are quick to recall
that they kept strictly to the terms of that generosity and accounted for the
money spent. “That’s where the differences lie,” Mr. Ramsauer said. “And that
is a fundamental difference.”
Πηγή:
nytimes.com
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