As we end a
week in which Greece failed to make a payment to the International Monetary
Fund and move into a weekend featuring a referendum that could determine the
future of the country's relationship with the rest of Europe, it's worth noting
that Greece has a long history of financial crises.
Reinhart and Rogoff classified six major
types of financial crises:
- Banking
Crises: Bank runs and similar events that result in the failure of large
financial institutions and require significant government intervention.
- Foreign
Sovereign Debt Crises: A government failing to make a debt or interest payment
to foreign creditors when it comes due, or when a government's sovereign debt
is dramatically restructured.
- Domestic
Sovereign Debt Crises: Similar to the above, but involving domestic rather than
foreign creditors. Also includes freezing bank accounts or forcibly converting
deposits in foreign currency into local currency.
- Stock
Market Crashes.
- Inflation
Crises: An annual inflation rate of at least 20%.
- Currency
Crises: A devaluation of the local currency against the US dollar or historically
and geographically relevant major currency of at least 15%.
Reinhart and Rogoff determined whether a
country was in any of those six types of crisis in each year studied. Here's
the result for Greece between 1829, when Greece became fully independent from
the Ottoman Empire, and 2010, the last year for which Reinhart and Rogoff
provided data:
As with most countries around the world, the
turmoil at the beginning of the Great Depression in the late 1920s and early
1930s is apparent in the chart, with several Greek financial crises beginning
then and continuing through the postwar years.
Especially relevant to the Hellenic
Republic's current difficulties in paying back its creditors is the fact that,
as measured by Reinhart and Rogoff, Greece spent 87 of the 181 years - or 48% -
between 1829 and 2010 in a state of external debt crisis. Running into problems
paying back foreign debt is nothing new for Greece.
Πηγή:
businessinsider.com
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